Kindly requesting help for calculation of level of significance

Creatonotus

Dear All,

Would somebody please be as kind as to assist in determining the level of significane.

I consider the days of the year that cuckoos return to a certain area in southern Germany (data below) and would like to calculate p:

year day

1978 109

1980 105

1981 104

1982 106

1984 107

1985 110

1986 117

1987 109

1988 111

1989 98

1990 103

1991 103

1992 108

1993 94

1994 106

1995 112

1996 105

1997 111

1998 110

1999 100

2000 107

2003 107

2004 100

2005 101

2006 105

2008 111

2009 103

2010 96

2011 100

2012 97

2013 99

2014 96

2015 103

2016 96

2017 104

2018 94

2019 109

2020 99

JASP calculates several values for p. Which is the one that applies to my problem?

Thanks so much for your assistance and kind regards,

Michael

eduard

HI Michael,

I think you meant to post this question in JASP. I moved it for you.

Eduard

EJ

You want the p-value for the "Jahr" predictor. I am sure that more interesting things could be done with this interesting dataset though! We will add some time series methods this year, but I believe that time series modeling is a more insightful strategy.

Cheers,

E.J.